Bundestag election: does SPD Chancellor candidate Scholz want to rule with the left?

SPD chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz does not rule out red-red-green. But he sets conditions – this also includes a commitment to NATO.

Whoever chooses it assures you Olaf Scholz, “Also gets what he orders”. He would only form a government in which all parties would agree “that we must cultivate the transatlantic partnership, that we have the obligation that we have with the Then have to enter into, also enter into, ”said the SPD’s candidate for chancellor on“ Bild ”-TV.

Scholz was not asked about foreign policy, but rather whether he had an alliance with the Left would come in – yes or no? He doesn’t get involved in the question so ultimately. Instead, he names conditions: a strong one ME, solid finances and homeland security.

Scholz primarily wants a traffic light, not red-red-green

He does not give the clear answer. First and foremost, he looks at the Greens and the FDP. But to the “progressive alliance” of which SPD Chief Saskia Esken likes to talk, the Left Party could count. Both sides do not rule it out.

Union Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet expects his opponent “that he says clearly: We will not form a coalition with the left.” CDU-Generalsekretär Paul Ziemak warns, in turn, whoever votes for the FDP “has to accept that in the end he will wake up at the cabinet table with Esken and Kühnert”. Esken and the former Juso boss Kevin Kühnert are the enemy of the Union. She trusts them to do everything – with the Left Party as well as with the Liberals.

The first goal of Scholz is that the SPD ends up in front of the Greens in the federal election on September 26th. Then he could file a claim to leadership. The goal seems realistic.

Zero-sum game between Social Democrats and Greens

However, it is often forgotten that in the polls the profits and losses between the two parties are almost a zero-sum game. A good six months ago, on February 4, the SPD was in the “Germany trend” at 15 percent, the Greens at 21 percent, the Left at six percent – last Friday the results were 21 (SPD), 17 (Greens) and seven (Left).

Together they come to 45 percent. That would not be enough for a majority. In essence, the balance of power between the SPD and the Greens has just turned.

The left wing of the SPD holds still. Neither does he warn against the FDP. He is still promoting the Left Party. There is no clear camp election campaign, the number of red-red-green supporters has recently declined. Someone who was at the interfaces between the three parties, Stefan Liebich from the left, no longer running for the Bundestag. The SPD could dock with Thuringian Prime Minister Bodo Ramelow and with the moderate chairman of the parliamentary group, Dietmar Bartsch.

The SPD shies away from the debate about a left alliance

Talks with left-wing Social Democrats too R2GAs the potential alliance is also called, these days begin with the sentence “You won’t get any quotes from me”. The SPD does not want to promote the debate. Behind the scenes you can hear a lot of disappointment and disillusionment. The main difference lies in foreign and security policy. The Left Party wants that Secret services abolish and overcome NATO. Of course she refuses Foreign missions of the Bundeswehr flat out.

“In terms of foreign policy, I have to say that after the failure in Afghanistan, the SPD is really not in a position to demand confessions,” said Left party leader Janine Wissler our editorial team. “A critical self-reflection would be more appropriate.” But Scholz is sticking to the transatlantic alliance. Reliability in foreign policy is “one of our strengths” and is “not up for grabs”, also asserts SPD leader Norbert Walter-Borjans.

The left does not seem averse

There is, however, another interpretation in the SPD – that with the end of the Afghanistan mission, a stumbling block in foreign policy also disappeared. And: The biggest obstacle in the past has been resolved over the years – the Hartz reform. An alliance on the left is possible, Wissler does not rule it out, but finds it in his own words “interesting that Scholz is already thinking out loud about a coalition with the left”.

Read about it: How Olaf Scholz still wants to win the election

If he really wanted a government with solid finances, he was “best served” with the program of the left. A strong EU is “also a concern of the left, if it also includes strengthening the democratic institutions in the EU,” she says.

When saying goodbye to her Election program there was initially no reason for the left to vacate maximum positions. Why also? At the time, the SPD seemed weak and participation in the government unrealistic. Now a new situation could arise and the left could have a chance to govern. In the left wing of the SPD it is said that after an election one should “sound out” all possibilities – also with the left.

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