Covid-19: the peak of hospitalizations could be reached in early December

The number of daily hospitalizations linked to Covid-19 is expected to reach 750 next week, according to models by the Institut Pasteur.

“According to projections made by the Institut Pasteur, the peak of the [cinquième] wave of patients with severe Covid hospitalized in critical care could be reached from early December, so next week in mainland France, “said Jérôme Salomon on Thursday, while speaking from the Ministry of Health.

Increase in hospital cases

Currently, according to the figures he transmitted during this press conference dedicated to new measures to fight the epidemic, France has 8,755 patients hospitalized for Covid, including 1,483 in critical care. “New hospitalizations and critical care admissions are also on the rise nationally,” he said. According to the figures of CovidTracker, there are on average 119 critical care admissions for Covid-19 each day, up (+ 37%) from last week, and 558 hospital admissions for Covid-19 each day, up 43 %.

“People hospitalized today are essentially unvaccinated, elderly or particularly fragile, particularly immunosuppressed,” Jérôme Salomon said on Thursday.

The famous “projections made by the Institut Pasteur” mentioned by Jérôme Salomon during the press point are accessible directly on the website of the institute. And allow us to measure the extent that this fifth wave could take in the hospital.

Thus, according to these models, by December 1, the number of daily hospital admissions linked to Covid-19 could rise to 750, compared to 558 currently. And concerning daily critical care admissions, again linked to Covid-19, they are expected to rise to just over 200 per day by next week, against 119 at present. The latter are therefore expected to almost double.

If what Jérôme Salomon announced turns out to be true, that is to say that these models from the Institut Pasteur would indeed represent the peak of the fifth wave of hospitalizations, then the latter would turn out to be more or less the same as that known. in August. At the time, at the height of Wave Four, there were 904 daily hospitalizations. Far from the more than 3,000 calculated during the first wave in March 2020.

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