Electricity: winter 2023-24 "most likely" the riskiest, says Emmanuelle Wargon

We have a delicate winter there now and we probably also have a delicate or difficult winter in 2023-2024. This is also where what will be done on gas imports, electricity imports, the continuation of community emergency measures, the beginning of reflection on the organization of the market, this will have an impact on the winter 23-24“, she said on BFM Business.

We have a good chance that it will not go too badly for the winter of 2022-23. For 2023-2024, it’s still really very uncertain“, she added, acknowledging that this second tense winter would be “most likely“the riskiest.

Regarding this winter, she again indicated that we could not “exclude that there are targeted cuts. It’s not 100% sure. It will depend on our sobriety or not, the weather, our ability to react when the RTE network manager announces that it is very tense“.

The electrical distribution networkEnedis is preparing for it with the prefects just in case. We are always in + in case +. It is not written that this will happen“, she pointed out.

The fear of cuts was rekindled after the latest forecasts from RTE, the operator of the electricity transmission network, which warned last Friday of a risk “raised” of tensions on the electrical system in January, due to the slower than expected restart of EDF’s nuclear reactors – almost half of which are still shut down.

Asked about electricity prices, Ms Wargon said how things would go would depend on a “critical moment” who is “the arrival of reactors that are currently under maintenance or stress repair for the production grid in December and January“.

If they arrive in accordance with EDF’s updated forecasts, this means that we will be able to cope in January if it is not too cold and this means that prices for the first and second quarters could stabilize or even fall.“, she estimated.


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