Forecast: – Macron loses the majority

At 20 o’clock, the French media published the first election forecast based on a selection of votes counted. The forecast shows that President Emmanuel Macron’s political alliance is poised for a few 200-260 seats. While the left-wing alliance is poised to get 149-200. At 20.45, the French media state that the president has lost the majority in the National Assembly. Several members of the government and leading politicians from Macron’s party failed to save their seats in the National Assembly.

One of the evening’s big winners is the right-wing populist Marine Le Pen, who on the first forecast is likely to get a group of 89 seats. In the last election, her party won seven seats in the National Assembly.

GOOD MOOD: Cheers outside the election vigil to the left. Tonight’s election winner is the left-wing alliance NUPES and the right-wing populists of Marine Le Pen.

Although Macron gets the most representatives in the National Assembly, he seems to lose the majority, on the very first forecast. There are 577 representatives in the National Assembly and the president must have 289 to get a clear majority. In his first five years as president, Macron had 345 representatives behind him.

No compromiser

With a comfortable majority, Macron has been able to drive through tough reforms and political issues, almost without political opposition. Opposition to, among other things, higher fuel prices, labor market reform and other controversial issues has Macron first and foremost met in the streets. The protests of the “yellow vests” in particular marked Macron’s first presidency.

Macron won the presidential election in April by a good margin over right-wing populist Marine Le Pen. Usually, the parliamentary election is a rehearsal of the presidential election. This year, however, a divided left has managed to gather. Socialists, Greens and Communists are running with common candidates.

Should Macron lose the majority, he must either enter into a political alliance, probably with the traditional conservative party, Les Republicains. Otherwise secure a majority from case to case. Macron is not known for being a man of compromise, and it is expected that he will find it difficult to enter into the political compromises needed to get through, including a controversial higher retirement age. From today’s 62 to 65 years. The left promises to lower the retirement age to 60 years.

Turnout appears to be historically low. At 5 pm, it was likely to be below the turnout in the previous election, ie below 50 per cent.

The case is being updated

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