In recent days, we wrote on these pages that the conditions for further reductions of 10% had been formed. Our view is the following: we are going to panic for a few days but the setup of May 20th is very close and could stop the sales even permanently.
The setup days register with high probability relative absolute minimums / maximums or accelerations.
The next months will expire on 11 and 13 and then on 24 May. On day 20, however, an annual setup will expire.
At 5:17 pm on the trading day on May 9th we read the following prices:
Dax Future
13,442
Eurostoxx Future
3,514
Ftse Eb Future
22,600
S&P 500 Index
Discount until the end right? The fractal continues to prove fitting with the reality of the facts
In red, our annual forecast for the world stock index on a weekly scale for 2022.
In blue the chart of the American markets at the close of May 6th.
Forecast for the current week
The expected sample path is as follows:
maximum between Monday and Tuesday and then minimum on Friday. For the moment we continue to confirm this forecast.
Panic for a few days but the May 20th setup is very close. The operational levels
Dax Future
Very short bearish trend until we see a daily close above 13.695. Lasting highs only with a weekly close above 14,322.
Eurostoxx Future
Very short bearish trend until we see a daily close above 3.599. Lasting highs only with a weekly close above 3,775.
Ftse Mib Future
Very short bearish trend until we see a daily close above 23.210. Lasting highs only with a weekly close above 24,155.
S&P 500 Index
Very short bearish trend until we see a daily close above 4.082. Lasting up only with a weekly close above 4,309.
Current multidays trading position of our Trading Systems
Ftse Mib Future Short from 9 May. The other indices analyzed have opened Short since the opening on 6 May.
How far in price and time could this decline continue?
By 5 July the following levels could be reached:
Dax Future
10,646
Eurostoxx Future
2,942
Ftse Mib Future
17,900
S&P 500 Index
3,933.
What movement to wait for Tuesday?
A first attempt to rebound for a few hours, and then leave room for new sales.
Recommended reading
The reasons that have pushed the markets towards a sell off on the lists all over the world