As in the case of the Apple/Epic lawsuit, the legal work to approve or stop Microsoft’s acquisition of Activision Blizzard has resulted in a lot of relatively secret information reaching the public.
In connection with the British Competition and Markets Authority’s investigation, both Microsoft and Sony have given their estimates of when the next generation of consoles will be released. This is in connection with a discussion about how a possible exclusivity for the Call of Duty series can affect the console market.
From Microsoft’s side, it is clear that the next generation of consoles will probably not see the light of day until the spring of 2028 at the earliest:
“The Parties [Microsoft and Activision] do not dispute that some portion of gamers are likely to re-assess their console ownership at the start of a new generation But they also note that this is an event that only occurs approximately every eight years. Indeed the next new generation of consoles are not expected to be released before the fall of 2028 at the very earliest.”
Sony’s guess for the next console generation is unfortunately censored in the publicly available version of the report, but it still appears that they don’t expect the upcoming Playstation 6 to launch until after 2027:
“Microsoft has offered to continue making Activision’s games available on Playstation only until 2027… By the time SIE launched the next generation of its Playstation console (which is likely to occur around [redacted]), it would have lost access to Call of Duty and other Activision titles, making it extremely vulnerable to consumer switching and subsequent degradation in its competitiveness.”
There were seven years between the launch of the Xbox One/Playstation 4 (2013) and the current consoles (2020). If the new consoles don’t come until 2028, that means an eight-year generation. Do you think the hardware will remain relevant for that long?