Meteorologists of the Colorado State University (CSU) In the United States, they raised their initial hurricane forecast for the current Atlantic hurricane season, and anticipated this Tuesday 25 named storms and 12 hurricanes, of which six would be of great intensity.
One day after that Beryl hit the state of Texas as a Category 1 hurricane early Monday morning, leaving destruction and death in its wakethe university’s Department of Atmospheric Sciences added two named storms and a major hurricane to its forecasts made in early June.
“We have slightly increased our forecast and continue to forecast an extremely active hurricane season in the Atlantic in 2024,” warned the CSU, which last month A total of 23 named storms had been forecast, of which 11 could become hurricanes.and five of these could reach category 3, 4 or even 5, with winds exceeding 111 mph (miles per hour).
“We anticipate a much above-average chance of major hurricanes making landfall along the continental U.S. coastline and In the Caribbean“, experts said Tuesday.
This pioneering group in seasonal hurricane prediction updated its forecast based on the rising sea surface temperatures averaged over the main hurricane development region of the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean, which “remain near record warm levels.”
These temperatures “provide a dynamic and thermodynamic environment much more conducive to hurricane formation and intensification,” the university said on its website.
CSU experts stressed that “Beryl, a deep tropical hurricane of category 5it is also a likely harbinger of a hyperactive season”.
Beryl set records by becoming the first hurricane, both Category 4 and Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, to form so early in the 2024 hurricane seasonwhich began on June 1 and ends on November 30.
The University of Colorado is not the first organization to predict an above-average hurricane season.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted a more active than usual season in Mayin which between 17 and 25 named storms and up to 13 hurricanes could form, of which up to seven could be very intense.