A few days before the presentation of the pension reform, the latest government trends seem to be approaching the criteria demanded by members of the Republicans.

Have the Republicans succeeded in imposing all their criteria for the next pension reform? The answer will be given this Tuesday during a press conference by the Prime Minister, but the latest trends seem to confirm it. Indeed, Elisabeth Borne should finally propose a reform providing for a postponement of the legal retirement age to 64 years, against 62 years currently.

A postponement until age 65 was first put on the table by the executive. But it is indeed the hypothesis of 64 years, with a rate of three months more per generation in order to reach this retirement age for people born from 1968, which is “privileged” by the government, according to information from Opinion, confirmed by concordant sources to BFMTV. As for the duration of contributions, it should not exceed 43 years.

Modalities which are close to the positions put forward by several eminent members of the Republicans, whose support in the National Assembly is necessary to allow the vote on this reform, without going through 49.3.

The forgotten 65-year-old “red cloth”?

The LRs first seem to have won their case on the retirement age finally decided, but also on the rate at which it would be reached. The president of LR Éric Ciotti announced in the JDD of this Sunday having asked the Prime Minister “to attenuate the brutality of the reform” which must, according to him, “spread over two five-year terms, by 2032”.

“I think the legal retirement age could be set at the end of this period at 64, with an intermediate step at 63 in 2027,” he said.

The president of the LR group in the National Assembly Olivier Marleix had also indicated that he would not support a reform including a postponement of the legal age of departure to 65, which he described as a “red rag”, “too brutal”.

“We need to reform pensions, let’s go step by step, 63 years old by the end of the five-year term, one quarter a year, that would already be not bad,” Olivier Marleix claimed on LCP last December.

Same thing for Bruno Retailleau, the boss of the LR senators. “I have the impression that the government’s landing point will be the Senate’s proposal,” he told AFP after meeting with the Prime Minister, recalling that the Senate has been proposing a text for several years providing for an extension of the retirement age to 64 years.

A reconciliation of positions which should allow the government to obtain the votes of the LRs. “We don’t want to please the government, but we can’t not vote for something we’ve been talking about for years”, commented a close friend of Eric Ciotti, who salutes a “pretty good relationship with Borne” .

Towards a maximum duration of 43 years of contributions?

Side duration of the contributions, the LR could also have won. Olivier Marleix reportedly said on Friday “that at some point, the duration (of contributions) must prevail over age”, according to the Parisianwhich specifies that the duration mentioned is 43 years.

This means that an employee, who would have worked for 43 years, could retire without a discount, regardless of his age. A point “still under discussion”, according to several relatives of Olivier Marleix, quoted by the newspaper.

However, the latest statements by Elisabeth Borne also seem to go in this direction. “We will not go beyond the 43 years of contributions provided for in the Touraine reform to have a full pension”, declared the Prime Minister on France info tuesday.

The text examined in the Council of Ministers on January 23

The Republicans also plead for people currently retired not to receive less than 85% of the minimum wage, a change that the government is currently planning only for future retirees. This proposal is supported by some members of the majority, and the government does not exclude the study, according to our information.

After its presentation to the press on Tuesday, the text will be examined by the Council of Ministers on January 23, but the unions, which meet on Tuesday evening, plan to mobilize before this date, while on the left the Nupes is holding a meeting on January 10 and 17. and that LFI demonstrates on the 21st.

The bill must pass in committee at the National Assembly from January 30, and in the hemicycle on February 6, for two weeks, according to parliamentary sources.

Alexis Cuvillier, with Emilie Roussey

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