Supported by data from the Gallup World Poll (GWP), a worldwide annual survey covering 160 countries and 99% of the world’s population, the report examines “Under the surface: How many and who want to leave their countries to move to the EU and Sweden?” questions such as: Who are the people who want to move to Sweden and where do they come from? How can migration propensity data be used to predict future migration trends?

The purpose of the report is to identify countries with a high potential willingness to migrate and see how this in turn can affect future migration.

Contributors: Mikael Elinder, report author and docent in economics at the Department of Economics, Uppsala University, Oscar Erixson, report author and file. dr in economics and researcher at the Institute for Housing and Urban Research, Uppsala University, Olle Hammar, report author and file. d, ri national economy and researcher at the Institute for Business Research and the Institute for Future Studies, Lisa Pelling, head of the think tank Arena Idé, Erika Löfgren, senior expert lasting solutions for refugees UNHCR, Arvid Zheng Norin, global analyst at the migration analysis unit Migration Agency,

Moderator: Göran Holmquist, committee member Delmi, file. dr. Peace and Development Affairs and head of department at Sida where he heads the department responsible for Asia, the Middle East and humanitarian aid.

Organizer: Delmi. From 21/4

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