Reports of a Ukrainian counter-offensive in the spring have persisted for months. So far, however, there have been no major attacks. According to a report by the “Washington PostIn addition to a lack of ammunition and the waiting for Western weapons, there was one factor in particular: “Rasputiza”, the rainy season.
The rainy season in Ukraine regularly turns large parts of the country into mud and soggy soil. Last year “Rasputitsa” caused problems for the Russian army in advancing, now the Ukrainians are affected.
“Rasputitsa” in Ukraine: “It is impossible to advance”
“As you can see, spring means mud,” a Ukrainian commander in Donetsk said at the end of February.Ntv“. “It’s impossible to advance.” Apparently nothing has changed to this day, so Ukraine is pushing back the start of its counter-offensive.
Former US Air Force meteorologist David Helms told the “Deutsche Welle“: “The spring mud season has started earlier this year after March and February were about two degrees Celsius warmer than winter.”
Mud time also offers Ukraine a great opportunity
Helms’ forecast: From mid-April, the soil in southern Ukraine will begin to dry, two weeks later in Donetsk, and from mid-May also in Luhansk. Helms’ analysis for Deutsche Welle: Ukraine could take advantage of this by starting the offensive towards the south while Russian tanks are still stuck in the mud in Donetsk and Luhansk.
