A month before the arrival in the Assembly of a bill from the Liot group to repeal retirement at 64, its president Bertrand Pancher urges the head of state to “find a new way” at the end of crisis.” “Nothing would be worse than catalepsy,” asserts this centrist.
An open letter to put pressure. On June 8, the Liot group will defend a bill to repeal the legal postponement of the retirement age. But the presidential majority might want to attempt obstruction to avoid the vote of the deputies. What push the president of the Bertrand Pancher group to publicly challenge Emmanuel Macron.
“Holding a vote by deputies on provisions on which they were never able to vote in the end would be a way to appease our country, whatever the result”, judges the elected official in a open letter published by L’Opinion.
Chances of positive vote at the Assembly
The Liot group, which has already tabled a cross-partisan motion of censure, is playing its last cartridge to come back to the reform. The Constitutional Council partially validated the content and the Elders twice rejected a request for a referendum of shared initiative defended by the left.
If the protest in the street continues with concerts of pots which follow the ministers like the president, Emmanuel Macron does not cease to show his will to apply the reform to the next retirement.
On paper, the bill is likely to be passed if LR deputies join their voices to those of Nupes and RN. However, its adoption remains very hypothetical. The Liot deputies will defend their text from 9 a.m. to midnight.
The possible obstruction of the macronie “would aggravate the crisis”
Suffice to say that the presidential majority could multiply the tabling of amendments to drag out the debates and prevent the deputies from voting within the time limits.
“Recourse to delaying, obstructive or exceptional maneuvers would fuel the fire of anger and aggravate the democratic crisis”, warns Bertrand Pancher in his open letter.
Before recalling the proliferation of legislative measures followed by the government, from the use of 49.3 in the National Assembly which did not allow the deputies to vote for the reform, through the blocked vote in the Senate or the activation of 47.1 for limit the time for debate in Parliament.
“A reform suffering from a lack of democratic legitimacy”
The Constitutional Council for its part underlined “the unusual nature” of the combination of these provisions, without judging them contrary to the fundamental law.
“The result is a reform suffering from a lack of democratic legitimacy, while it will have an impact on generations of French people”, still regrets Bertrand Pancher.
The Senate, possible savior of the president
“With our bill, we are proposing a new way out of the deadlock (…) More than a year has passed since your re-election as President of the Republic, and nothing would be worse than catalepsy” , writes the group president.
But even if the bill repealing the pension reform is adopted, its future seems very uncertain. The text should then go to the Senate, which said yes twice to the pension reform. Its adoption therefore seems unlikely by the upper house.
And even if that happened, it would then be necessary for a mixed commission between senators and deputies to take place. But this decision is up to the presidents of the two institutions, Gérard Larcher and Yaël Braun-Pivet, both in favor of retirement at 64. In the event of a possible meeting, the chances that the CMP will be conclusive are also very low.
But politically, a vote in the Assembly in favor of the repeal of the reform could put Emmanuel Macron in great difficulty and push him, hopes the Liot group, to perhaps abandon the reform. The calculation remains for the moment very hypothetical.
