Miami.- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported a 70% probability of the formation of a tropical depression this week in the center of the Atlantic, while another system positioned off the coast of North Carolina (USA). .) shows less chance.
The meteorologists detailed that the activity of the downpours and electrical storms in the center of the Atlantic has become a little more concentrated in association with an area of low pressure located about 700 miles (1,126 kilometers) to the east-northeast of the Islands of Leeward.
“Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally favorable for the gradual development of this system over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the first part of this week,” the federal agency said in its most recent bulletin.
The system is expected to move toward the northwest near 15 miles per hour (24 kilometers) over the next day or so, then turn northward over the central subtropical Atlantic late Monday or Tuesday.
On the other hand, the NHC reported that off the North Carolina coast, shower activity and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in association with a low pressure trough located about 100 miles (161 kilometers) to the north. southeast of Morehead City.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some further development over the next day as the system gradually accelerates toward the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.
Later, this system is likely to be merged with a front band.
In this sense, the NHC indicated that there is a 30% probability of cyclonic formation in the next seven days.
During June, the first month of the Atlantic hurricane season, three tropical storms (Arlene, Bret, and Cindy) formed in the Atlantic basin.
Bret brought tropical storm force winds to portions of the Lesser Antilles, while Arlene and Cindy did not make landfall.
So far, seasonal activity has been above the 30-year climatology-based average (1991-2020), where a named storm typically forms about once a year in June.
In terms of Accumulated Cyclonic Energy (ACE), which measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the basin so far in 2023 has been above average compared to the long-term average (1991- 2020).
