The essayist and former adviser to Nicolas Sarkozy believes that the triple candidate for the Elysian election is mistaken in strategy in her quest for credibility.
What if Marine Le Pen and the far right came to power in 2027? If this scenario is only a fiction for the moment, the latest polls are unanimous and show that the head of the deputies of the National Rally emerges strengthened from the pension reform sequence. In the one produced by Elabe for BFMTV, she is given the winner against Emmanuel Macron in the event of a second round in 2022 which would be replayed today.
However, the essayist Patrick Buisson – who had approached the interested party before the presidential election of 2022 and today provides advice to Éric Zemmour – does not believe at all in his victory in the next presidential election.
“Self-Fulfilling Prophecies”
Guest of BFMTV-RMC, the former adviser to Nicolas Sarkozy, also an expert in polls, judges that this context is not new.
“Marine Le Pen, in the years 2015-2016, was a winner against François Hollande”, he introduces, before evoking an “anti-fascist carnival” made of “self-fulfilling prophecies” and alarmist polls”, which “arrange everyone”.
Still, the triple candidate for the Elysian election saw her score increase between 2017 – the first year she reached the second round – and 2022. Beaten dryly the first time by Emmanuel Macron by gathering only 33.90% of the vote, she did better 5 years later with 41.45% of the vote.
However, Patrick Buisson judges that Marine Le Pen is in a “dead end”, because of its strategy. An analysis he formulates in his latest book, titled décadanse and released last week. According to him, the MP for Pas-de-Calais “needs allies and cannot come to power alone”.
“The tie will turn into a noose”
Returning to the last two presidential elections, Patrick Buisson underlines that Marine Le Pen, twice, has reached out to Jean-Luc Mélenchon, with the success that we know”. For him, “his breeding ground is rather at right”. He believes that by attracting voters from this political family, the elected representative could solve her problem of “political credibility”.
To demonstrate her ability to govern, Marine Le Pen and the deputies affiliated with her have been playing the game of a respectable opposition since the start of the legislature. But, there too, Patrick Buisson is not convinced.
“The strategy of the tie will turn into a noose”, he predicts, believing that “the spectacle given by the Assembly will turn into a wave of anti-parliamentarianism, comparable to that which brought General de Gaulle back to power in 1958 “.
Therefore “opinion will not make the difference”, he believes.
