The study, published this Monday, shows how the coasts of the whole world will change during the next decades as a result of the accelerated melting of the poles and the sustained rise in sea levels. La Plata, Berisso and Ensenada will be three of the Argentine districts that will be affected and whose coasts will undergo radical changes much sooner than expected.
The increasingly intense heat waves, the cold in the middle of summer, the extreme rains and the increasingly prolonged droughts are just some of the many phenomena attributed to global warming and many are beginning to affect the daily life of people throughout the world. country. In that framework, The Cross Dependency Initiative either XDI (The Cross-Dependence Initiative), a world-leading organization in analyzing physical climate hazards, has published a revealing study on how the world will be affected by rising ocean levels over the course of of the coming years and the results are impressive.
The study takes into account eight threats of climate change to anticipate the physical change of the territories: river and surface flooding, coastal flooding, extreme heat, forest fires, land use (related to drought), extreme wind and thawing due to freezing. From that survey the experts produced an interactive map that can be configured to see changes up to the year 2150, but you don’t have to go that far and is that already in the next decade the entire region will be greatly affected: from Quilmes to La Plata, practically everything located to the east of the Autopista La Plata – Buenos Aires will be under water.
As can be seen, large areas of Quilmes, ezpeleta, berazategui, bananas, hudsonhe Pereyra Iraola Park, Villa Elisa, City Bell, gonet, ringuelet, toulouse and Cove they will be submerged or at least flooded in the course of the next few years.
If the forecasts are correct, then, in a matter of a few years, City Bell and Gonnet could, for example, be right in front of the Río de la Plata waterfront and between those towns and Punta Lara a bay could even form, being submerged under the water, outstanding real estate developments, roads and even the brand new Thermal Power Plant recently inaugurated in Ensenada. Along the same lines, both the coasts of Berisso and those of the center of Ensenada would be significantly reduced. Even according to the study, several of the spas that we know today could disappear, such as those of Palo Blanco and Bagliardi, among others.
WORLD ALERT
This study is focused on large cities in the world and on changes in built land. To do this, it uses global climate models, combined with local meteorological and environmental data and engineering archetypes to calculate probable damage. The scenario, among other characteristics, will take place with an average global temperature higher than in pre-industrial times and it is expected that the world will be 3ºC warmer by the end of the century.
The conclusion of the report also explains that the “locomotive” cities, that is, the most developed and in many cases also the most polluting, will be the ones that are mainly affected by climate change. China and the United States will bear the greatest economic costs in that regard.
Buenos Aires is ranked 40th in the ranking of cities that will receive the most damage from climate change in the coming years. Despite forecasts, problems with sea level are already seen in various parts of the world. In 2022, in Guangdong, China, flooding caused economic losses of more than $1 billion. In the United States, Hurricane Ian caused $67 billion in damage when it hit Florida.
